West Virginia

U.S. Senate

14days to polls

The call

200 synthetic voters, set beside the poll average.

SyntheticR+51.4Shelley Moore Capito

Poll average—no poll average

Gap—synthetic − polls, points

SyntheticPoll average

Shelley Moore Capito

59.8 synthetic

Rachel Fetty Anderson

19.2 synthetic

S. Marshall Wilson

2.9 synthetic

Against the polls

Share error: —
Crosstab error: —
Sample: 200 synthetic voters

The government

Donald Trump's job approval as President, among West Virginia voters

Approve · synthetic49.4%46.4% disapprove

Approve · polls50.0%41.0% disapprove

Net gap−6.0synthetic − polls

← United States midterm elections, 2026

How the call is made. For every race we build a synthetic electorate that matches the real one, at least 200 voters strong, and ask it how it will vote before polling day. The call is set beside the published polls as they come in, and scored against the official count once it is in.