South Dakota
U.S. Senate
14days to polls
The call
200 synthetic voters, set beside the poll average.
SyntheticR+28.5Mike Rounds
Poll average · 4 pollsR+0.5
Gap+28.1synthetic − polls, points
SyntheticPoll average
Mike Rounds
57.2 synthetic44.3 polls
Brian Bengs
31.8 synthetic43.9 polls
Against the polls
- Share error
- 8.6 pts per option
- Crosstab error
- —
- Sample
- 200 synthetic voters
The government
Donald Trump's job approval as President, South Dakota
Approve · synthetic44.9%51.0% disapprove
Approve · polls47.0%45.0% disapprove
Net gap−8.1synthetic − polls
Latest polls
Newest first.
| Pollster | Fieldwork to | Sample | R | I |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenith Research | SEP 27, 2026 | 500 (LV) | 44.0 | 38.0 |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | SEP 09, 2026 | 629 (RV) | 45.0 | 42.0 |
| Lake Research Partners (D) | AUG 30, 2026 | 500 (LV) | 44.0 | 51.0 |
| Impact Research (D) | AUG 17, 2026 | 500 (LV) | 44.0 | 44.0 |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | JUL 09, 2026 | 500 (LV) | 56.0 | 33.0 |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | MAY 30, 2026 | 726 (RV) | 44.0 | 40.0 |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | FEB 18, 2026 | 685 (RV) | 47.0 | 35.0 |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | NOV 14, 2025 | 814 (RV) | 44.0 | 31.0 |
← United States midterm elections, 2026
How the call is made. For every race we build a synthetic electorate that matches the real one, at least 200 voters strong, and ask it how it will vote before polling day. The call is set beside the published polls as they come in, and scored against the official count once it is in.