Updated 20 October 2026
United States · U.S. SenateElection day · NOV 03, 2026

Rhode Island

U.S. Senate

14days to polls

The call

200 synthetic voters, set beside the poll average.

SyntheticD+65.0Jack Reed
Poll average · 4 pollsD+22.1
Gap+43.0synthetic − polls, points
SyntheticPoll average
Jack Reed
71.5 synthetic51.9 polls
Raymond McKay
15.2 synthetic33.1 polls

Against the polls

Share error
10.3 pts per option
Crosstab error
—
Sample
200 synthetic voters

The government

Donald Trump's job approval as President, among Rhode Island voters

Approve · synthetic25.0%70.7% disapprove
Approve · polls27.0%65.0% disapprove
Net gap−7.7synthetic − polls

Latest polls

Newest first.

PollsterFieldwork toSampleDR
University of New HampshireSEP 21, 2026595 (LV)53.033.0
University of New HampshireAUG 24, 2026750 (LV)51.031.0
University of New HampshireJUN 23, 2026664 (LV)52.035.0
University of New HampshireAPR 20, 2026556 (LV)52.034.0

← United States midterm elections, 2026

How the call is made. For every race we build a synthetic electorate that matches the real one, at least 200 voters strong, and ask it how it will vote before polling day. The call is set beside the published polls as they come in, and scored against the official count once it is in.