Updated 20 October 2026
United States · U.S. SenateElection day · NOV 03, 2026

Louisiana

U.S. Senate

14days to polls

The call

200 synthetic voters, set beside the poll average.

SyntheticR+29.6Julia Letlow
Poll average · 2 pollsR+4.7
Gap−24.9synthetic − polls, points
SyntheticPoll average
Julia Letlow
57.0 synthetic44.5 polls
Jamie Davis
31.0 synthetic40.5 polls

Against the polls

Share error
8.3 pts per option
Crosstab error
—
Sample
200 synthetic voters

The government

Donald Trump's job approval as President, Louisiana

Approve · synthetic44.2%51.6% disapprove
Approve · polls41.0%51.0% disapprove
Net gap+2.5synthetic − polls

Latest polls

Newest first.

PollsterFieldwork toSampleRD
Hart Research Associates (D)SEP 19, 2026500 (LV)48.044.0
Public Policy Polling (D)JUL 22, 2026518 (RV)41.037.0

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How the call is made. For every race we build a synthetic electorate that matches the real one, at least 200 voters strong, and ask it how it will vote before polling day. The call is set beside the published polls as they come in, and scored against the official count once it is in.