Explorations of community-scale synthetic research: elections, events, and communities.https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/clacton-by-election/https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/clacton-by-election/A parliamentary by-election in Clacton-on-Sea — the kind of single-seat contest where national narratives collide with an intensely local mood. We built a synthetic electorate for the town and asked it what the by-election turns on.Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMTelectionsby-electionukhttps://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/five-states-one-night/https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/five-states-one-night/On a single primary night, five states vote at the same time. We built a synthetic electorate for each and ran them in parallel — locking onto all five to compare what moves an electorate from one state to the next.Sun, 12 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMTelectionsprimariesmulti-statehttps://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/rio-de-janeiro-transit-referendum/https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/rio-de-janeiro-transit-referendum/We took the method south of the equator: a synthetic electorate for the state of Rio de Janeiro, asked about a hypothetical transit-funding referendum. A first look at how the model reads a very different community.Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMTeventsbrazilcommunitieshttps://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/reading-a-town-hall-before-it-happens/https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/reading-a-town-hall-before-it-happens/Elections are the loud case. The quieter, more useful one: simulating how a specific community reacts to a specific decision — a rezoning, a fare hike, a library closure — before anyone walks into the room.Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMTeventscommunitiesmethodshttps://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/colorado-2026-governor-primary/https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/colorado-2026-governor-primary/We built a synthetic Colorado electorate and ran the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary — Michael Bennet against Phil Weiser — a hundred times. Here is what the simulation believes, and how we intend to grade it.Tue, 30 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMTelectionscolorado2026https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/why-simulate-an-electorate/https://outcomes.syntheticusers.com/posts/why-simulate-an-electorate/Polls sample a few hundred people once. A synthetic electorate lets you ask ten thousand simulated citizens anything, as many times as you want — and then check yourself against reality.Thu, 18 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMTmethodspopulationsmanifesto